Evidence of skill?

The simulation on the previous page showed that there is considerable variability in the league table at the end of a season even if all teams are equally matched. Simulating league tables with evenly matched teams shows the amount of variability that could be expected at the end of season.

This provides a way to assess whether an actual league table might be explained simply by natural variability of teams with equal ability.

English Premier Soccer League in 2013/14

Simulations with evenly matched teams will be used to help assess whether skill was evident in the 2013/14 season of the English Premier Soccer League.