Tourist arrivals in Fiji
Use this diagram to explain how to obtain forecasts for a seasonal time series,
Forecast = Seasonal effect + Trend forecast + Cyclical forecast
Use the checkboxes to add these three components separately to the bottom diagram. Explain how each can be extended into the future.
With all three checkboxes ticked, click on future months of the time series to see the resulting forecasts.
The data set gives the number of tourists arriving in Fiji each month from 1991 to 1999.